The evidence behind the guides

Sources library

Browse by topic or search for a study, author or question. Open evidence notes to see what a source can—and cannot—tell us.

TopicCollection

Sources for Uncertainty and disagreement about probability

1 source

Guide citations are still under editorial review.

Grace and colleagues · 2024 Researcher survey

Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI (original source, new tab)

Reports respondents' beliefs about future AI, not measured probabilities or a consensus prediction.

Sources retain their original publishers’ rights. Inclusion does not imply endorsement. Saved sources stay in this browser on this device. Dates and source descriptions come from the existing editorial records.